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“Mikey Madison is in trouble. In my initial predictions, I said that if she lost both the Critics Choice Award and the Screen Actors Guild Award, I’d have to seriously reconsider her front runner status. Well, she lost both.”

“History is on the line. Not only does Chalamet have the chance to defeat Brody, but he could also take his title as the youngest Best Actor winner since Brody’s victory for The Pianist”

“Sean Baker may have just enough momentum to carry it over the finish line.

However, if Baker doesn’t win, it would likely mean Anora has already had a rough night at the Oscars.”

@wonkcosmo The only award Chalamet has won is SAG (and a few critics' bodies), and his speech came after Oscars voting closed. He could win the Oscar, sure, but I don't see much to suggest Brody has lost his front-runner status.